The First Futurists and
the World They Built
The future, as a site of epistemic and ontological projection, has always harbored an ambivalent potency: an arena susceptible to sequestration and instrumentalization by those seeking dominion over temporality itself. Historically, it has served as both the mirror and the manufacture of authority, a contested terrain upon which power dramatizes its capacity for foresight and prescription. As Hannah Arendt apprehensively notes in On Violence (1970), all futurological claims are haunted by the automatisms of the present—they are “projections of present automatic processes,” she writes, processes that perpetuate themselves only if humanity remains inert. Her anxiety alerts us to the essential paradox of prediction: the futurist’s pronouncements are self-fulfilling only insofar as their audiences permit the inertia on which they depend. Thus, the “future” is revealed not as a horizon of liberation but as an ideological apparatus—an enclosure of possibility, disciplined by those who presume the prerogative to define it.
Within this framework, futurology emerges less as a speculative curiosity than as a regime of knowledge-production, one intertwined with technocratic and capitalist rationalities. The futurist—unlike the prophet or poet—claims not to interpret but to administer the future, to construct inevitability through discursivity and data alike. This conferral of epistemic authority upon futurists, particularly as embraced by political and economic institutions, reveals a profound continuity between modern technoscientific governance and the ancient hierarchies of divination. Where the oracle read entrails, the algorithm parses datasets; yet both derive legitimacy from proximity to power and the rhetorical promise of control.
Though prophecy predates industrial modernity, the futurism under consideration here is an artifact of post-Enlightenment reason—an epistemological turn that conjoined industrial productivity with moral teleology. With the advent of the Industrial Revolution, thinkers such as Henri de Saint-Simon transposed Enlightenment rationalism into the idiom of material progress. For Saint-Simon, the “industrial class” was not merely an economic stratum but a moral vanguard, the privileged arbitrator of collective destiny. His deterministic vision—“the future consists of the last terms of a series whose first terms constitute the past”—reduces history to a calculable function, a series whose outcome can be scientifically deduced once its initial variables are known. In effect, Saint-Simon sacralized causality, conflating progress with predictability and governance with foresight. The authoritarian tenor of his thought prefigures the epistemic arrogance of contemporary technocracy: like our digital-age futurists, he mistook systemic modeling for omniscience.
In the aftermath of Enlightenment universalism, the nineteenth century witnessed a proliferation of future-oriented epistemes—each claiming rational certainty while encoding ideological desire. John Stuart Mill’s utilitarian calculus, which sought the maximization of happiness through economic empiricism, exemplified this rationalist faith in progress through quantification. In contrast, the revolutionary futurism of Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels inverted this positivist model: history, for them, was not a smooth projection of the present but a dialectical rupture wherein the “muck of ages” would be expunged through revolutionary praxis. Yet, even within this critique, the rhetoric of inevitability persists; the proletarian future is no less “fated” than the liberal one. In both cases, futurity operates as a legitimating discourse—a teleological horizon that naturalizes specific forms of agency while foreclosing others.
Literature, too, absorbed and contested these ideological constructions. Mary Shelley’s The Last Man (1826), often dismissed in its own time, enacts an early critique of Enlightenment and industrial hubris by narrativizing the apocalyptic exhaustion of progress itself. Similarly, the utopian speculations of Edward Bellamy’s Looking Backward (1888) and H. G. Wells’s A Modern Utopia (1905) dramatize the oscillation between technocratic necessity and moral idealism that typified late-nineteenth-century futurisms. Such texts serve not merely as imaginative artifacts but as cultural laboratories where collective fantasies of control, redemption, and annihilation are rehearsed.
By the twentieth century, futurism crystallizes as a self-consciously institutionalized discourse. The Italian Futurists’ aesthetic worship of velocity and machinery metamorphosed seamlessly into fascist ideology, converting technological enthusiasm into the iconography of domination. After World War II, the RAND Corporation’s emergence as a premier forecasting institution marked the ascendance of what philosopher Nicholas Rescher has termed the “Advice Establishment”—an epistemic consortium of technocrats, social scientists, and policy consultants who transformed “the future” into a governable object of empirical calculation. RAND’s pursuit of a “scientific theory of prediction” signaled the apotheosis of technocratic rationalism: the conviction that uncertainty itself could be eradicated through modeling and computation.
This RANDian futurism, predicated on the quantification of catastrophe—from nuclear annihilation to demographic implosion—became the template for modern technopolitical governance. It supplanted utopian idealism with managerial foresight, a shift mirrored in Alvin and Adelaide Toffler’s Future Shock (1970), which recast temporal instability as a condition to be mitigated through expert intervention. The future, henceforth, was not an imaginative possibility but an administrative imperative.
Yet the epistemic authority once monopolized by think tanks has metastasized in the digital age into the algorithmic determinism of corporate technologists. Where mid-century futurists sought to forecast the world, twenty-first-century technology elites claim to engineer it. Their predictive systems—rooted in data accumulation, machine learning, and venture capital—recapitulate the same logic of inevitability that sustained both Enlightenment rationalism and industrial utopianism. The future becomes proprietary, coded as intellectual property; temporality itself becomes a commodified frontier.
Jenny Andersson’s historiographical intervention thus restores the future to its status as a contested social terrain. The antinomies of apocalypse and utopia, dread and promise, no longer merely structure speculative thought—they constitute the very grammar of our political unconscious. To wrest futurity from the grip of technocratic determinism is, therefore, not merely an intellectual exercise but an act of resistance within the contemporary struggle over meaning, value, and human agency.
VOCABULARY FROM THE PASSAGE
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Futurology – The study of possible futures and future developments, usually based on present trends in society, technology, economics, and politics.
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Prophecy – A statement that claims to describe what will happen in the future, often presented as coming from a divine or supernatural source.
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Determinism – The belief that events (including human actions) are fixed or determined by prior causes, so that the future follows necessarily from the past and present.
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Meritocracy – A social system in which power and rewards are given to people based on their ability, talent, or achievement, not on birth or social status.
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Utopian – Relating to an imagined perfect society where political, social, and economic conditions are ideal and free from problems.
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Dystopian – Relating to an imagined future society that is frightening, unjust, or oppressive, often the opposite of a perfect world.
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Avant-garde – Describing artists, writers, or thinkers whose work is very experimental, new, and often challenges accepted ideas or styles.
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Technocrat – A person who exercises power or influence because of technical or specialist knowledge, especially in science, economics, or engineering.
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Forecasting – The systematic attempt to predict future events or trends using data, models, and analysis of current conditions.
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Apocalypse – A vision or scenario involving complete destruction or great disaster, often used for end-of-the-world or civilization-ending events.
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